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NCAAFGame line3rd quarter spread
SMU 3Q -3.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price-119Polymarket
Price needs54.3%wins to break even
Every game8 of 19this season and last
Trend score-25.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 54% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 54% to break even | 20%–61% | 16 points shortwon 38%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 54% to break even | 26%–61% | 12 points shortwon 42%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SMU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against CAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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SMU 3Q -3.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against smu 3q -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UVA | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  BC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  MOST | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  LOU | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UCD | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  FSU | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  ARIZ | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  CAL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | LOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | BC | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  WAKE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  CLEM | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  STAN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  SYR | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  TCU | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | MOST | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  BAY | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  ETAM | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on SMU Mustangs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.