This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 888%needs 57% to break even | 59%–97% | 31 points betterwon 88%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 888%needs 57% to break even | 59%–97% | 31 points betterwon 88%, needs 57% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 57% to break even | 55%–97% | 29 points betterwon 86%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 1 of 1100%needs 57% to break even | 27%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 7 of 888%needs 57% to break even | 59%–97% | 31 points betterwon 88%, needs 57% |
Tonight SAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BALL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 52.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| Sep 12 | 52 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 52 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 45 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 6 | 37 | +15.5 | Won | |
| 4 of 7· this season57%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -22.0Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 48% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 46% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 39% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| 1.4Slight |
| Under 16.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -1.0Not beating its price |
| SAC to win moneylineSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +525at BetRivers | 1 of 7· this season14%needs 16% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +7.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 38% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +3.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 38% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +11.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped38%needs 45% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +9.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 40% to break even | -21.8Not beating its price |
| SAC +13.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped38%needs 48% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +10.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 43% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +4.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 43% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +6.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 46% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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