This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 838%needs 52% to break even | 16%–65% | 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 838%needs 52% to break even | 16%–65% | 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 0 of 10%needs 52% to break even | 0%–73% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 3 of 838%needs 52% to break even | 16%–65% | 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
Tonight SAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BALL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| Sep 12 |
| 52 |
| +1 |
| Won |
| Sep 5 | 52 | +1 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 45 | -6 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 6 | 37 | -14 | Lost | |
| 3 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped38%needs 36% to break even |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped50%needs 44% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped63%needs 46% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped63%needs 48% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped63%needs 51% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 51 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 5 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped63%needs 51% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped63%needs 54% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped88%needs 57% to break even | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped88%needs 59% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 8 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped100%needs 67% to break even | 2.8Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| 1.4Slight |
| Under 16.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -1.0Not beating its price |
| SAC to win moneylineSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +525at BetRivers | 1 of 7· this season14%needs 16% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +7.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 38% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +3.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 38% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| SAC +11.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped38%needs 45% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +9.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 40% to break even | -21.8Not beating its price |
| SAC +13.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped38%needs 48% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +10.5 spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 43% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +4.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 43% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| SAC +6.5 1st half spreadSacramento State Hornets · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped25%needs 46% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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