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NCAAFGame lineMoneyline
UVA to win (moneyline)
Won11 of 14last season · 79%
Best price-120ProphetX
Price needs54.5%wins to break even
Every game15 of 21this season and last
Trend score-13.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 55% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 55% to break even | 29%–81% | 3 points betterwon 57%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 55% to break even | 57%–91% | 24 points betterwon 79%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 55% to break even | 54%–84% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
UVA to win (moneyline)22 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
- PXProphetX-12054.5%BestBet ↗
- PINPinnacle-12154.8%−$1Bet ↗
- NVNovig-12255.0%−$1Bet ↗
Polymarket-12355.2%−$2Bet ↗
Caesars-12455.4%−$3Bet ↗
DraftKings-12555.6%−$3Bet ↗- tStheScore Bet-12555.6%−$3Bet ↗
Fanatics-12555.6%−$3Bet ↗
BetUS-12555.6%−$3Bet ↗
Bovada-12555.6%−$3Bet ↗
MyBookie-12755.9%−$5Bet ↗- RBReBet-12755.9%−$5Bet ↗
FanDuel-12856.1%−$5Bet ↗- FLFliff-13056.5%−$6Bet ↗
BetOnline-13056.5%−$6Bet ↗- LVGLowVig-13056.5%−$6Bet ↗
BetMGM-13056.5%−$6Bet ↗
Kalshi-13156.7%−$7Bet ↗
Hard Rock-13557.4%−$9Bet ↗
Bally Bet-13657.6%−$10Bet ↗
BetRivers-13657.6%−$10Bet ↗- PRXbetPARX-13657.6%−$10Bet ↗
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against uva to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | -31 | -31 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 56 | +56 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 26 | +26 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 20 | +20 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 26 | FSU | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 41 | +41 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.