This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 51% to break even | 15%–54% | 20 points shortwon 31%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 51% to break even | 21%–56% | 14 points shortwon 37%, needs 51% |
Tonight NU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against RUTG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nu -16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.5 game total, NU gamesNorthwestern Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 31 |
| +14.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 2 | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | -6 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 34 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 16 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 27 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -7 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -2 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | -21 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 35 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -20 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 35 | +18.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -20 | -36.5 | Lost |
| 12 of 13· last season92%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 6.4Good |
| NU to win moneylineNorthwestern Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PX-690at ProphetX | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 87% to break even | Record is this season's | -35.5Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, NU gamesNorthwestern Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 52% to break even | -37.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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