This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 87% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 87% to break even | 44%–95% | 7 points shortwon 80%, needs 87% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 87% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points shortwon 70%, needs 87% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 87% to break even | 46%–83% | 21 points shortwon 67%, needs 87% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 87% to break even | 50%–96% | 4 points shortwon 83%, needs 87% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 87% to break even | 32%–74% | 33 points shortwon 54%, needs 87% |
| Every game | 12 of 1963%needs 87% to break even | 44%–79% | 24 points shortwon 63%, needs 87% |
Tonight NU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against RUTG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.5 game total, NU gamesNorthwestern Wildcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.4Good | |
| NU -16.5 spreadNorthwestern Wildcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 58.5 game total, NU gamesNorthwestern Wildcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 52% to break even | -37.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.