This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 50% to break even | 22%–78% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 50% to break even | 10%–49% | 25 points shortwon 25%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 50% to break even | 18%–53% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
Tonight UCLA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, UCLA gamesUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA -14.5 spreadUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| +11.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 90 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 69 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 39 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 62 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 58 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 49 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 62 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 37 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 51 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 79 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 31 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 45 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 53 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 53 | -9.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 6· this season50%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -30.6Not beating its price |
| UCLA to win moneylineUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-600at ProphetX | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 86% to break even | Record is this season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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