This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 51% to break even | 13%–48% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 51% to break even | 2%–30% | 43 points shortwon 8%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 4 of 1822%needs 51% to break even | 10%–41% | 29 points shortwon 22%, needs 51% |
Tonight UCLA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ucla -14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, UCLA gamesUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 2 |
| -12.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 51 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 21 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -19 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -34 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -38 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -50 | -64.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 25 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -25 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -7 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -33 | -47.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, UCLA gamesUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
| UCLA to win moneylineUCLA Bruins · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-600at ProphetX | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 86% to break even | Record is this season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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