This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 51% to break even | 13%–48% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 51% to break even | 3%–45% | 37 points shortwon 14%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 51% to break even | 30%–70% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 51% to break even | 23%–56% | 13 points shortwon 38%, needs 51% |
Tonight M-OH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 48 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 39 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 44 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 45 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 66 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 52 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 21 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 36 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 69 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 57 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 44 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 43 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 74 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 39 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 38 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 79 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 62 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 17 | +22.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 game total, M-OH gamesMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH to win moneylineMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | PX-125at ProphetX | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 56% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price | ||
| M-OH -0.5 1st half spreadMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| M-OH +0.5 1st half spreadMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| M-OH -2.5 spreadMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.