This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 52% to break even | 30%–70% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 10 of 2148%needs 52% to break even | 31%–65% | 4 points shortwon 48%, needs 52% |
Tonight M-OH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against m-oh -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 20 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -45 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 21 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 17 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 13 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 38 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -28 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 game total, M-OH gamesMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.2Not beating its price | |
| M-OH to win moneylineMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | PX-125at ProphetX | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 56% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price | ||
| M-OH -0.5 1st half spreadMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| M-OH +0.5 1st half spreadMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 game total, M-OH gamesMiami (OH) RedHawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -106at Caesars | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.