This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 52% to break even | 29%–81% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 52% to break even | 46%–85% | 17 points betterwon 69%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 52% to break even | 47%–80% | 13 points betterwon 65%, needs 52% |
Tonight CMU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against M-OH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 35 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 game total, CMU gamesCentral Michigan Chippewas · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU -0.5 1st half spreadCentral Michigan Chippewas · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET |
| 45 |
| +5.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 58 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 55 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 34 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 23 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 41 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 24 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | 57 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 51 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 59 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 66 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 62 | +22.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even |
| -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.3Not beating its price |
| CMU to win moneylineCentral Michigan Chippewas · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | NV+125at Novig | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| CMU +2.5 spreadCentral Michigan Chippewas · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| CMU +0.5 1st half spreadCentral Michigan Chippewas · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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