This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 49% to break even | 19%–71% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 49% to break even | 32%–74% | 5 points betterwon 54%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 49% to break even | 33%–67% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
Tonight CMU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against M-OH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cmu +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -17 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 24 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -49 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -31 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | -27 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -18 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 12 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 19 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 21 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 11 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 39 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -60 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -28 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 game total, CMU gamesCentral Michigan Chippewas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price | |
| CMU -0.5 1st half spreadCentral Michigan Chippewas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price | |
| CMU to win moneylineCentral Michigan Chippewas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | NV+125at Novig | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| CMU +0.5 1st half spreadCentral Michigan Chippewas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 39.5 game total, CMU gamesCentral Michigan Chippewas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -106at Caesars | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even | -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.