This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 59% to break even | 54%–93% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 59% to break even | 59%–92% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 59% to break even | 50%–96% | 24 points betterwon 83%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 12 of 1486%needs 59% to break even | 65%–95% | 27 points betterwon 86%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 17 of 2085%needs 59% to break even | 68%–94% | 26 points betterwon 85%, needs 59% |
Tonight TTU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ttu -8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 28 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 22 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 35 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 | -23 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 27 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 49 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 39 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 22 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 42 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -4 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 25 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 24 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 31 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 48 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 60 | +51.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.