This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 47% to break even | 22%–61% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 47% to break even | 12%–65% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 47% to break even | 36%–76% | 10 points betterwon 57%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 47% to break even | 33%–67% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
Tonight TTU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ttu 1h -7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 33 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -4 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | -3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 | -6 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 28 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 36 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 28 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 28 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 48 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 47 | +39.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.