This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 50total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 52.7total points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% | 53.3total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 50.9total points |
| Last season |
Tonight MTSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against KENN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 50.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 game total, MTSU gamesMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU to win moneylineMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders · |
| 29%–71% |
| 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| 53.3total points |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 52% to break even | 30%–65% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% | 52.4total points |
| 49 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 13 | 63 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 36 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 47 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 54 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 52 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 68 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 86 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | JVST | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 59 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | 42 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 40 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 70 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 27 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 52 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home |
| -18.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| NV-138at Novig |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even4 of 9 at home |
| -26.9Not beating its price |
| MTSU -1.5 spreadMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET | NV-203at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 67% to break even4 of 9 at home | -35.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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