This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 67% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% | lost by 10.4points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 67% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% | lost by 2.5points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 67% to break even | 22%–61% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% | lost by 4.5points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 67% to break even | 29%–81% | 10 points shortwon 57%, needs 67% | lost by 4.3points |
| Last season | 2 of 1217% |
Tonight MTSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against KENN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MTSU -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 game total, MTSU gamesMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
| 6%–40% |
| 50 points shortwon 17%, needs 67% |
| lost by 8.5points |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 67% to break even | 17%–50% | 35 points shortwon 32%, needs 67% | lost by 6.9points |
| 3 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -55 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 24 | +22.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -26 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | JVST | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -32 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home |
| -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, MTSU gamesMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| MTSU to win moneylineMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET | NV-138at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even4 of 9 at home | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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