This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 50% to break even | 10%–46% | 27 points shortwon 23%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 50% to break even | 20%–53% | 15 points shortwon 35%, needs 50% |
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 48 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT to win moneylinePittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 38 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 2 | 68 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 59 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 17 | 40 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 19 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 40 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 45 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 70 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 52 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 87 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 43 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 61 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 62 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 70 | -21.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 13· last season77%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 8% to break even |
| 24.2Very strong |
| PITT +20 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | LVG+100at LowVig | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | 12.9Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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