This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 50% to break even | 65%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 50% to break even | 65%–98% | 40 points betterwon 90%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 50% to break even | 67%–95% | 37 points betterwon 87%, needs 50% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 50% to break even | 72%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 50% to break even | 63%–95% | 35 points betterwon 85%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 50% to break even | 74%–97% | 40 points betterwon 90%, needs 50% |
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against pitt +20, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -20 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -6 | +14 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT to win moneylinePittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| -4 |
| +16 |
| Won |
| Oct 2 | 2 | +22 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 59 | +79 | Won |
| Sep 17 | 14 | +34 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 5 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +65 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -6 | +14 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -31 | -11 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +34 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -22 | -2 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 15 | +35 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 19 | +39 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 17 | +37 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +23 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 41 | +61 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -7 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -7 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 28 | +48 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 52 | +72 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 8% to break even |
| 24.2Very strong |
| Over 48.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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