This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 46% to break even | 7%–46% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 46% to break even | 3%–45% | 31 points shortwon 14%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 46% to break even | 32%–74% | 8 points betterwon 54%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 46% to break even | 24%–58% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
Tonight HAW plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against NIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
HAW points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | HAW points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 12 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 29 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 24 | 35 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 38 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 38 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 31 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 44 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | AFA | 44 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 37 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalHawaii Rainbow Warriors · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 25.5 team totalHawaii Rainbow Warriors · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 27.5 team totalHawaii Rainbow Warriors · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.