This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 6 of 875%needs 51% to break even | 46%–91% | 24 points betterwon 75%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 51% to break even | 16%–57% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 51% to break even | 33%–67% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Tonight EMU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OHIO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 48 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, EMU gamesEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMU to win moneylineEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
| 48 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 52 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 32 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 64 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 42 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 48 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 45 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 25 | 52 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 48 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 49 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 74 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 26 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 61 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 37 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 71 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 79 | -30.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 20% to break even |
| 3.0Good |
| EMU +12 spreadEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | LVG-105at LowVig | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| EMU +0.5 1st half spreadEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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