This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 825%needs 51% to break even | 9%–54% | 26 points shortwon 25%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 8 of 1267%needs 51% to break even | 43%–84% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 51% to break even | 33%–67% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Tonight EMU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OHIO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 48 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 48 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 52 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 32 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 64 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 42 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 48 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 45 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 25 | 52 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 33 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 48 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 49 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 74 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 26 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 61 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 37 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 65 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 71 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 51 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 79 | +30.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 game total, EMU gamesEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 6 of 8· this season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMU to win moneylineEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | PX+395at ProphetX | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 20% to break even | 3.0Good | ||
| EMU +12 spreadEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | LVG-105at LowVig | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price | ||
| EMU +0.5 1st half spreadEastern Michigan Eagles · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.