This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 60% to break even | 46%–83% | 6 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 60% to break even | 41%–90% | 11 points betterwon 71%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 60% to break even | 39%–80% | 1 points betterwon 62%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 60% to break even | 47%–80% | 5 points betterwon 65%, needs 60% |
Tonight TOL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tol to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 20 | +20 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.5 game total, TOL gamesToledo Rockets · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| -15 |
| -15 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 15 | +15 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 53 | +53 | Won |
| Sep 4 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 29 | +29 | Won |
| Nov 12 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Nov 5 | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 35 | +35 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 60 | +60 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -4.6Not beating its price |
| TOL -3.5 spreadToledo Rockets · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| TOL -0.5 1st half spreadToledo Rockets · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| TOL +0.5 1st half spreadToledo Rockets · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, TOL gamesToledo Rockets · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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