This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 53% to break even | 2%–35% | 43 points shortwon 10%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 53% to break even | 13%–48% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 53% to break even | 26%–68% | 7 points shortwon 46%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 53% to break even | 21%–56% | 16 points shortwon 37%, needs 53% |
Tonight GT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against gt -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -10 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -21 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | -1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -14 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -12 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 21 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 47 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.