This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
Games
Record
Likely win rate
Compared with the price
Last 5 games
5 of 5100%needs 51% to break even
65%–100%
49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51%
Last 10 games
6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even
35%–81%
9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51%
Last 15 games
9 of 1464%needs 51% to break even
43%–81%
13 points betterwon 64%, needs 51%
This season
6 of 786%needs 51% to break even
55%–97%
34 points betterwon 86%, needs 51%
Last season
3 of 1127%needs 51% to break even
11%–52%
24 points shortwon 27%, needs 51%
Every game
9 of 1850%needs 51% to break even
32%–68%
1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51%
Games like tonight
Tonight WVU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TCU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.