This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 39% to break even | 44%–95% | 41 points betterwon 80%, needs 39% | 38.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 39% to break even | 35%–81% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% | 43total points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% | 47.3total points |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 39% to break even | 50%–96% | 44 points betterwon 83%, needs 39% | 36.2total points |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 39% to break even | 15%–54% | 9 points shortwon 31%, needs 39% | 56total points |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 39% to break even | 30%–65% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 49.7total points |
Tonight TCU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WVU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 52.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 52.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 23 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 27 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 34 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 70 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 25 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 68 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 31 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 37 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 40 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 78 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 69 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 56 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 51 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 59 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 63 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 62 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.