This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 33% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points betterwon 40%, needs 33% | won by 15.2points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 33% to break even | 13%–56% | 3 points shortwon 30%, needs 33% | won by 6.8points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 33% to break even | 8%–41% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% | won by 5.2points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 33% to break even | 12%–65% | evenwon 33%, needs 33% | won by 11.8points |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 33% to break even | 10%–46% | 10 points shortwon 23%, needs 33% | won by 5.4points |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 33% to break even | 13%–45% | 7 points shortwon 26%, needs 33% | won by 7.4points |
Tonight TCU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WVU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against TCU -20, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 20 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 11 | -9 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -7 | -27 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -8 | -28 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 56 | +36 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -5 | -25 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 3 | -17 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 22 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -17 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -31 | -51 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -23 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -14 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 6 | -14 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -13 | -33 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 14 | -6 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -23 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 11 | -9 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 21 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | 34 | +14 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.