This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 47% to break even | 13%–56% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 47% to break even | 13%–48% | 21 points shortwon 27%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 47% to break even | 12%–65% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 47% to break even | 15%–54% | 16 points shortwon 31%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 47% to break even | 17%–50% | 16 points shortwon 32%, needs 47% |
Tonight TCU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WVU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tcu -13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| -7 |
| -20.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | -8 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 56 | +42.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | -5 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 22 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -31 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -13 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 1 | 34 | +20.5 | Won |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 34% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| TCU -1.5 1st quarter spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 56% to break even | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| TCU -6.5 1st half spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| TCU -7.5 1st half spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
| TCU -5.5 1st half spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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