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NCAAFGame lineSpread
ORE -8.5 (spread)
Won11 of 15last season · 73%
Best price-114Polymarket
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game13 of 21this season and last
Trend score-18.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 53% to break even | 44%–77% | 9 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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ORE -8.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ore -8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  NEB | 3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  UCLA | -2 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  USC | 14 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 |  PRST | 84 | +75.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  OKST | -8 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  BOIS | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 9 |  IU | -34 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  TTU | 23 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 |  JMU | 17 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  WASH | 12 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | USC | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  MINN | 29 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  IOWA | 2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  WIS | 14 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  RUTG | 46 | +37.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | IU | -10 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  PSU | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ORST | 34 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  NU | 20 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | OKST | 66 | +57.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  MTST | 46 | +37.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Oregon Ducks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.