This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 51% to break even | 10%–59% | 23 points shortwon 29%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 9 of 1275%needs 51% to break even | 51%–90% | 24 points betterwon 75%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 51% to break even | 39%–74% | 7 points betterwon 58%, needs 51% |
Tonight VT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against CLEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
VT points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | VT points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT -0.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
| 20 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 2 | 33 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 35 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 44 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 7 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 16 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 42 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 11 | +12.5 | Won |
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -22.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 1.5Slight |
| VT -1.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.1Slight |
| VT +0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| VT +0.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| VT +2.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| VT +1.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| VT +3.5 1st half spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| VT -3.5 spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, VT gamesVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, VT gamesVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, VT gamesVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| VT +2.5 spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +105at Hard Rock | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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