This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 49% to break even | 55%–97% | 37 points betterwon 86%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 49% to break even | 10%–49% | 24 points shortwon 25%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 49% to break even | 30%–65% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
Tonight VT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against CLEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against vt +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | -2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 23 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 70 | +72.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -20 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -17 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -20 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -12 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -15 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 32 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -19 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -24 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | -13 | -10.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.