This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 53% to break even | 32%–74% | 1 points betterwon 54%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 53% to break even | 35%–70% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
Tonight CLEM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against VT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against clem 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -28 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 24 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 32 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.