This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 53% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 53% to break even | 36%–78% | 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 53% to break even | 35%–70% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
Tonight STAN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NCSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 28 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| 4 of 7· this season57%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| STAN to win moneylineStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | PX+225at ProphetX | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 31% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| STAN +1.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| STAN +2.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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