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NBAGame lineMoneyline
MIN to win (moneyline)
Won55 of 94last season · 59%
Best price-112Kalshi
Price needs52.8%wins to break even
Every game56 of 95this season and last
Trend score-18.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 55 of 9459%needs 53% to break even | 50%–67% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 56 of 9559%needs 53% to break even | 51%–67% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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MIN to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against min to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIA | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | -30 | -30 | Lost |
| May 12 | SA | -29 | -29 | Lost |
| May 10 | SA | 5 | +5 | Won |
| May 8 | SA | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | -38 | -38 | Lost |
| May 4 | SA | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Apr 27 | DEN | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 16 | +16 | Won |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  NO | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  HOU | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  IND | 20 | +20 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  CHA | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  PHI | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  DET | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DAL | 30 | +30 | Won |
| Mar 28 | DET | -22 | -22 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | HOU | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  POR | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  UTAH | 36 | +36 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | ORL | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Feb 24 | POR | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Feb 22 | PHI | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | DAL | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Feb 11 | POR | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Feb 8 | LAC | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | NO | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 2 | MEM | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Jan 26 | GS | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Jan 25 | GS | -26 | -26 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | UTAH | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | SA | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | HOU | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 33 | +33 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SA | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MIA | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 26 | +26 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Dec 31 | ATL | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 35 | +35 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  BKN | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | DEN | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  NY | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Dec 12 | GS | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Dec 8 | PHX | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Dec 4 | NO | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Dec 2 | NO | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 30 | SA | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 26 | OKC | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | SAC | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | PHX | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | WSH | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DEN | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 40 | +40 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NY | -23 | -23 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 16 | +16 | Won |
| Nov 1 | CHA | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Oct 29 | LAL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | DEN | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | IND | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Oct 24 | LAL | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | POR | 4 | +4 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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