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NBAGame lineMoneyline
HOU to win (moneyline)
Won54 of 88last season · 61%
Best price-208Kalshi
Price needs67.5%wins to break even
Every game56 of 90this season and last
Trend score-24.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 68% to break even | 44%–95% | 12 points betterwon 80%, needs 68% | won by 5.4points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 68% to break even | 27%–73% | 18 points shortwon 50%, needs 68% | won by 3.4points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 68% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points shortwon 67%, needs 68% | won by 6.7points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 68% to break even | 42%–100% | 32 points betterwon 100%, needs 68% | won by 11points |
| Last season | 54 of 8861%needs 68% to break even | 53%–69% | 6 points shortwon 61%, needs 68% | won by 4.7points |
| Every game | 56 of 9062%needs 68% to break even | 54%–70% | 5 points shortwon 62%, needs 68% | won by 4.8points |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 32 of 45 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
HOU to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against HOU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  SA | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  LAL | -20 | -20 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | LAL | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Apr 26 | LAL | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Apr 24 | LAL | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | LAL | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | LAL | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MEM | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  GS | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Mar 27 | MEM | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Mar 25 | MIN | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAL | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | LAL | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | -36 | -36 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Mar 8 | SA | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  POR | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Mar 5 | GS | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  WSH | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | MIA | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 20 | +20 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NY | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Feb 5 | CHA | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  IND | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Jan 29 | ATL | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Jan 28 | SA | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | MEM | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  DET | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Jan 22 | PHI | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | SA | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | NO | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Jan 16 | MIN | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | OKC | -20 | -20 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | CHI | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SAC | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | POR | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | POR | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | PHX | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 3 | DAL | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Dec 29 | IND | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Dec 23 | LAC | -20 | -20 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | SAC | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | DEN | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Dec 18 | NO | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DEN | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | LAC | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 6 | DAL | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | PHX | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SAC | 26 | +26 | Won |
| Dec 1 | UTAH | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | UTAH | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Nov 26 | GS | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 24 | PHX | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DEN | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CLE | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 16 | ORL | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 14 | POR | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Nov 12 | WSH | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIL | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 7 | SA | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 15 | +15 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DAL | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Oct 24 | DET | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | OKC | -1 | -1 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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