This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 55% to break even | 5%–56% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 55% to break even | 7%–46% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 55% to break even | 5%–33% | 41 points shortwon 13%, needs 55% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 55% to break even | 27%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 25 of 8230%needs 55% to break even | 23%–39% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 26 of 8331%needs 55% to break even | 24%–40% | 23 points shortwon 31%, needs 55% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mem to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 20 | +20 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -46 | -46 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -26 | -26 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -39 | -39 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 41 | +41 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -36 | -36 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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