This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 41% to break even | 5%–56% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 41% to break even | 2%–35% | 31 points shortwon 10%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 41% to break even | 5%–33% | 27 points shortwon 13%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 41% to break even | 0%–73% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 22 of 8227%needs 41% to break even | 20%–36% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 22 of 8327%needs 41% to break even | 19%–35% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against utah to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 46 | +46 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -35 | -35 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -34 | -34 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -36 | -36 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -55 | -55 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -30 | -30 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -34 | -34 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -40 | -40 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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