This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 71% to break even | 14%–73% | 31 points shortwon 40%, needs 71% | lost by 1.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 71% to break even | 19%–65% | 31 points shortwon 40%, needs 71% | lost by 2.1points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 71% to break even | 17%–54% | 37 points shortwon 33%, needs 71% | lost by 3.3points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 71% to break even | 12%–88% | 21 points shortwon 50%, needs 71% | lost by 6.5points |
| Last season | 19 of 8223% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against BKN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 42 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against IND to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 16%–32% |
| 47 points shortwon 23%, needs 71% |
| lost by 8points |
| Every game | 20 of 8424%needs 71% to break even | 17%–32% | 47 points shortwon 24%, needs 71% | lost by 8points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 29 | +29 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -26 | -26 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -43 | -43 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -26 | -26 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 15 | +15 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 33 | +33 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -35 | -35 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
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