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NBAGame lineMoneyline
NO to win (moneyline)
Won26 of 82last season · 32%
Best price+398Kalshi
Price needs20.1%wins to break even
Every game26 of 83this season and last
Trend score-8.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 20% to break even | 5%–56% | evenwon 20%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 20% to break even | 2%–35% | 10 points shortwon 10%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 20% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points betterwon 27%, needs 20% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 20% to break even | 0%–73% | 20 points shortwon 0%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 26 of 8232%needs 20% to break even | 24%–41% | 12 points betterwon 32%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 26 of 8331%needs 20% to break even | 24%–40% | 11 points betterwon 31%, needs 20% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
NO to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against no to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
