This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 57% to break even | 5%–56% | 37 points shortwon 20%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 57% to break even | 19%–65% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 57% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 57% to break even | 0%–73% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 48 of 8457%needs 57% to break even | 48%–66% | evenwon 57%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 48 of 8556%needs 57% to break even | 48%–65% | 1 points shortwon 56%, needs 57% |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 223.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 223.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 213 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 211 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 253 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 206 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 218 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 237 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 234 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 203 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 213 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 232 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 217 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 224 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 225 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 241 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 242 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 217 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 226 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 204 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 210 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 248 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 207 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 207 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 202 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 242 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 241 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 231 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 206 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 217 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 214 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 245 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 208 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 197 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 217 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 244 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 209 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 223 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 234 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 221 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 181 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 197 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 252 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 252 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 226 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 245 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 226 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 193 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 221 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 211 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 243 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 257 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 236 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 225 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 235 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 271 | +47.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 198 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 259 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 255 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 221 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 197 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 223 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 219 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 229 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 239 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 223 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 247 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 245 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 218 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 205 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 281 | +57.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 211 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 232 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 234 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 228 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 229 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 227 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 261 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 252 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 246 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 253 | +29.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.