This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 42% to break even | 39%–78% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 42% to break even | 27%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 44 of 8452%needs 42% to break even | 43%–61% | 11 points betterwon 52%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 45 of 8553%needs 42% to break even | 44%–62% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cha -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | -31 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 21 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 20 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 31 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 44 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 23 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 30 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 29 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 27 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 32 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 37 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 27 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 23 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 55 | +53.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 27 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -26 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -28 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 23 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -27 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 26 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.