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NBAPlayer propThrees
Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 threes
Won46 of 80last season · 57%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game46 of 81this season and last
Trend score-20.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 46 of 8057%needs 50% to break even | 48%–66% | 8 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 46 of 8157%needs 50% to break even | 48%–65% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | NY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | NY | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  MEM | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  GS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | WSH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  MIA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  CHA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  MIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  IND | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | MEM | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | MIL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | BOS | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | POR | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | GS | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | NY | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | MIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  OKC | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | NY | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | CHI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  LAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | DET | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | WSH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | DET | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 |  UTAH | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | LAC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | IND | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | OKC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesOnyeka Okongwu · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  -142at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.