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NBAPlayer propThrees
Naz Reid under 2.5 threes
Won56 of 89last season · 63%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game56 of 90this season and last
Trend score-26.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 61% to break even | 5%–56% | 41 points shortwon 20%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 61% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points shortwon 50%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 61% to break even | 39%–78% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 61% to break even | 0%–73% | 61 points shortwon 0%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 56 of 8963%needs 61% to break even | 54%–71% | 2 points betterwon 63%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 56 of 9062%needs 61% to break even | 54%–70% | 2 points betterwon 62%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Naz Reid under 2.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  BKN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | SA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | SA | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 8 | SA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | SA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | DEN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  CHA | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  PHI | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  DET | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | DET | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | ORL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  POR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | DAL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | POR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | LAC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 |  NO | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MEM | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | GS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | GS | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  UTAH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | SA | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | HOU | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  MIA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | ATL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | BKN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | GS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | PHX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | NO | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NO | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | SA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | OKC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | SAC | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | PHX | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | WSH | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DEN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NY | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | CHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | IND | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | POR | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesNaz Reid · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWithout White and Knueppel |  +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.