This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 27 of 8233%needs 44% to break even | 25%–42% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 reb + astDyson Daniels |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doubleDyson Daniels |
| 26%–43% |
| 11 points shortwon 34%, needs 44% |
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 0 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 20 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 22 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| -250at BetRivers |
| 61 of 82· last season74%needs 71% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +116at BetOnline | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +157at BetOnline | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +4400at DraftKings |
| 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 2% to break even |
| -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 pointsDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 29 of 82· last season35%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +507at DraftKings | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 16% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | -190at Bovada | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at BetRivers | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +252at Kalshi | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +126at FanDuel | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + astDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +205at BetRivers | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pointsDyson Daniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 29 of 82· last season35%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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