This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 60% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points shortwon 53%, needs 60% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 60% to break even | 0%–73% | 60 points shortwon 0%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 38 of 8445%needs 60% to break even | 37%–54% | 14 points shortwon 45%, needs 60% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pointsNickeil Alexander-Walker |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesNickeil Alexander-Walker |
| 36%–54% |
| 15 points shortwon 45%, needs 60% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 36 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 32 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 41 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 29 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 32 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 30 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 30 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 34 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 30 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 38 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| +109at Kalshi |
| 46 of 84· last season55%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -126at Kalshi |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 56% to break even |
| -2.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 reboundsNickeil Alexander-Walker · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astNickeil Alexander-Walker · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astNickeil Alexander-Walker · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 51 of 84· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsNickeil Alexander-Walker · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 49 of 84· last season58%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 threesNickeil Alexander-Walker · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 32 of 84· last season38%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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