This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 54% to break even | 13%–56% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 54% to break even | 17%–54% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 54% to break even | 27%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 27 of 5351%needs 54% to break even | 40%–62% | 3 points shortwon 51%, needs 54% |
| Every game |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsGrayson Allen · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesGrayson Allen · |
| 41%–63% |
| 2 points shortwon 52%, needs 54% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 27 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 33 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 42 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| -116at Kalshi |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -112at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 assistsGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | +134at Kalshi | 26 of 53· last season49%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -116at Kalshi | 27 of 53· last season51%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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