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NBAPlayer propAssists
Grayson Allen under 3.5 assists
Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-183Kalshi
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game27 of 54this season and last
Trend score-12.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 65% to break even | 44%–95% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 65% to break even | 65%–98% | 25 points betterwon 90%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 65% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 65% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 65% to break even | 0%–73% | 65 points shortwon 0%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 27 of 5351%needs 65% to break even | 40%–62% | 14 points shortwon 51%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 27 of 5450%needs 65% to break even | 39%–61% | 15 points shortwon 50%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Grayson Allen under 3.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  BKN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 27 |  OKC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | OKC | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  LAL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  HOU | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  CHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  CHA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  ORL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  UTAH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  DEN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 |  BOS | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  TOR | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  MIL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  NO | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | CHI | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  SAC | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | LAL | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | BOS | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | ORL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  GS | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  POR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  LAC | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  CLE | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  DET | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 | BKN | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  MIA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  ATL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  PHI | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | BKN | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  NY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | DET | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | MIA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 |  WSH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | NY | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  MEM | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | HOU | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | LAL | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | OKC | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 |  MIN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | HOU | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | DEN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 |  IND | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  DAL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | NO | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LAC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | LAC | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | GS | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  SA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | UTAH | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | MEM | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | UTAH | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | DEN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | LAC | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | SAC | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assistsGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG |  +134at Kalshi | 26 of 53· last season49%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Grayson Allen in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 pointsGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 pointsGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -112at Kalshi | 27 of 53· last season51%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 threesGrayson Allen · Today 7:10 PM ETKnueppel out: next up at SG | -116at Kalshi | 27 of 53· last season51%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.