This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 44% to break even | 0%–35% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% | 23.8points, rebounds and assists |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 44% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% | 28points, rebounds and assists |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% | 28.9points, rebounds and assists |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% | 24points, rebounds and assists |
| Last season | 56 of 8864%needs 44% to break even | 55%–72% | 20 points betterwon 64%, needs 44% | 35points, rebounds and assists |
| Every game | 56 of 8963%needs 44% to break even | 54%–71% | 19 points betterwon 63%, needs 44% | 34.9points, rebounds and assists |
Tonight CLE plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BKN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 27 of 42 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 31.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 24 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 25 | 18 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 22 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 34 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 44 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 19 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 37 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 27 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 34 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 37 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 37 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 34 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 25 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 30 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 36 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 34 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 36 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 36 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 52 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 38 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 25 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 31 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 43 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 31 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 30 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 34 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 30 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 30 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 52 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 43 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 46 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 41 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 30 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 42 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 35 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 22 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 32 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 45 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 27 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 40 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 16 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 48 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 41 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 43 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 27 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 65 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 44 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 52 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 66 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 36 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 56 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 37 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 44 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 43 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 25 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 39 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 44 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 28.5 pts + reb + astJames Harden · Today 7:40 PM ET | -108at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even8 of 42 at home | -19.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astJames Harden · Today 7:40 PM ET | -116at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even10 of 42 at home | -12.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.