This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 3% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 3% to break even | 0%–35% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 3% to break even | 0%–21% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 3% to break even | 0%–15% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 3% to break even | 0%–73% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last season | 2 of 544%needs 3% to break even | 1%–11% | evenwon 4%, needs 3% |
| Every game |
Tonight CLE plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BKN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 26 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Peyton Watson game, newest first: whether Watson had a double-double.
This player's other props in the game.
| 1%–10% |
| evenwon 4%, needs 3% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 17 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| +200at BetRivers |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 33% to break even15 of 26 at home |
| 2.5Slight |
| Over 1.5 assistsPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | -143at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even17 of 26 at home | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 stealsPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +174at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even11 of 26 at home | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reb + astPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +110at BetMGM | 31 of 54· last season57%needs 48% to break even16 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +235at Caesars | 21 of 54· last season39%needs 30% to break even9 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + rebPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +164at FanDuel | 27 of 54· last season50%needs 38% to break even14 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +180at DraftKings | 24 of 54· last season44%needs 36% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +184at Caesars | 22 of 54· last season41%needs 35% to break even10 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 blocksPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +250at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 29% to break even9 of 26 at home | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 29 of 54· last season54%needs 50% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 26 of 54· last season48%needs 39% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reb + astPeyton Watson · Today 7:40 PM ET | -143at BetRivers | 33 of 54· last season61%needs 59% to break even17 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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