This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 49% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points shortwon 30%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 49% to break even | 13%–48% | 22 points shortwon 27%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 32 of 9036%needs 49% to break even | 28%–44% | 13 points shortwon 36%, needs 49% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 assistsDuncan Robinson |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesDuncan Robinson |
| 27%–44% |
| 14 points shortwon 35%, needs 49% |
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| -148at Kalshi |
| 58 of 90· last season64%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -103at Kalshi |
| 57 of 90· last season63%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.0Slight |
| Under 2.5 threesDuncan Robinson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 33 of 90· last season37%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.