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NBAPlayer propAssists
Ausar Thompson over 3.5 assists
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price-183Kalshi
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game35 of 88this season and last
Trend score-28.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 65% to break even | 44%–87% | 5 points betterwon 70%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 65% to break even | 33%–72% | 11 points shortwon 53%, needs 65% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 65% to break even | 27%–100% | 35 points betterwon 100%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 34 of 8739%needs 65% to break even | 31%–48% | 26 points shortwon 39%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 35 of 8840%needs 65% to break even | 32%–49% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Ausar Thompson over 3.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  BOS | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  CLE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 15 | CLE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 13 | CLE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 11 | CLE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | CLE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 7 | CLE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | CLE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  ORL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 1 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | ORL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  IND | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CHA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  PHI | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  MIN | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  TOR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  OKC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | MIN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  NO | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  ATL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  LAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  GS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  WSH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 | WSH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | TOR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  SA | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | CLE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ORL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | CLE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 | OKC | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | SA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  CHI | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  NY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | TOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | CHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | WSH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  DEN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  BKN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  PHX | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | DEN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  SAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  HOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | NO | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | BOS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | IND | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | PHX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | CHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | CLE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  MIA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | LAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | LAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 |  UTAH | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | SAC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | CHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 |  DAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | BOS | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | ATL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | MIL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | POR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | MIL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | ATL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | ORL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | BOS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | IND | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | MIL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | ATL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | PHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | BKN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | UTAH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 |  MEM | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | DAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | CLE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | BOS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | HOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | CHI | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 assistsAusar Thompson · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET |  +134at Kalshi | 53 of 87· last season61%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.